Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.054097 0.058651 0.063259 0.068261 0.073532 0.078914 0.084818
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.047490 0.054266 0.061361 0.069319 0.077967 0.087055 0.097300
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.043979 0.052612 0.061926 0.072659 0.084620 0.097482 0.112294
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.037738 0.047327 0.057988 0.070607 0.085019 0.100854 0.119457
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.033432 0.043799 0.055648 0.070013 0.086772 0.105532 0.127943
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.029955 0.040908 0.053756 0.069676 0.088611 0.110159 0.136280
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.028409 0.040175 0.054277 0.072067 0.093553 0.118327 0.148702
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.026493 0.038805 0.053881 0.073235 0.096962 0.124661 0.158991
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.024706 0.037446 0.053370 0.074156 0.099994 0.130506 0.168697
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.022506 0.035379 0.051824 0.073662 0.101198 0.134096 0.175682
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.021188 0.034387 0.051568 0.074721 0.104267 0.139909 0.185334
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.019385 0.032598 0.050161 0.074210 0.105294 0.143181 0.191885
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.017985 0.031320 0.049406 0.074553 0.107455 0.147945 0.200414
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.016912 0.030437 0.049129 0.075485 0.110352 0.153635 0.210125
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016772 0.030911 0.050715 0.078919 0.116519 0.163476 0.225065
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014809 0.028509 0.048177 0.076688 0.115222 0.163859 0.228206
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013504 0.027021 0.046846 0.076027 0.115929 0.166744 0.234457
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012393 0.025757 0.045767 0.075653 0.116971 0.170028 0.241206
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012162 0.025902 0.046749 0.078175 0.121919 0.178385 0.254448
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011606 0.025466 0.046835 0.079406 0.125116 0.184483 0.264844
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011021 0.024940 0.046755 0.080377 0.127950 0.190114 0.274669
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010120 0.023798 0.045674 0.079853 0.128695 0.192986 0.280940
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009660 0.023404 0.045730 0.080973 0.131708 0.198858 0.291116